Kisumu All Stars vs MOFA Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Kisumu All Stars and 1.03 for MOFA, a combined total of 2.14. That distribution gives Kisumu All Stars the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kisumu All Stars home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
MOFA away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kisumu All Stars to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 30% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Kisumu All Stars and 1.03 for MOFA, a combined 2.14 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Kisumu All Stars win37%

Draw30%

MOFA win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–113.5%
1–013.1%
0–112.1%
0–011.8%
2–17.5%

Recent form

Kisumu All Stars

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vihiga United FC · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Darajani Gogo · 1-2 (L)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Migori Youth · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Soy United · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs MOFA · 1-0 (W)

MOFA

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabati Youth FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Soy United · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kibera Black Stars · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Darajani Gogo · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kisumu All Stars · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sofapaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nairobi City Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kariobangi Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Nzoia Sugar	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Naivas	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kibera Black Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Talanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Kisumu All Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fortune Sacco	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Soy United	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Equity Bank	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Luanda Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	MOFA	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Kibera Soccer	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Kabati Youth FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Gucha Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Mfalme	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kiminini Combined	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	BB FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Spitfire FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.