Stadion Frantiska Kloze · Referee T. Mankovecky · Analysis updated 15:38 UTC
Kladno vs Baník Ostrava II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Kladno and 1.51 for Baník Ostrava II, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Kladno the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.3% probability
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.51
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kladno home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Baník Ostrava II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kladno to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Kladno and 1.51 for Baník Ostrava II, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 1–07.4%
- 0–17.3%
Recent form
Kladno
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 0-2 (L)
Baník Ostrava II
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Hanácká · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Třinec · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Ústí nad Labem | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vysočina Jihlava | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Příbram | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia Praha II | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Táborsko | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Vlašim | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Kladno | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Opava | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Viktoria Žižkov | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Třinec | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.