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Wednesday, 8 July 2026

· Analysis updated 08:32 UTC

Kladno vs Mladá Boleslav II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Kladno and 2.00 for Mladá Boleslav II, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Kladno the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

60.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kladno home form

    5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Mladá Boleslav II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kladno to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Kladno and 2.00 for Mladá Boleslav II, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kladno win40%
Draw21%
Mladá Boleslav II win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–17.3%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–34.9%

Recent form

Kladno

  • 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 0-2 (L)

Mladá Boleslav II

  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové II · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.