Austria · Frauenliga · Relegation Group - 2013:00

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Sunday, 3 May 2026

LASK WWLWDL

· Analysis updated 16:57 UTC

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W vs LASK W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W and 1.78 for LASK W, a combined total of 2.71. That distribution gives LASK W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

LASK W win

57.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • LASK W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates LASK W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 19% / 23% / 58% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.93 goals for Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W and 1.78 for LASK W, a combined 2.71 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W win19%
Draw23%
LASK W win58%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

81%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 0–111.8%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 0–210.5%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–06.6%

Recent form

Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W

  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Südburgenland W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Salzburg W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-3 (L)

LASK W

  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T10:30:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Frauenliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sturm Graz W107211623
2Austria Wien W97112622
3St. Pölten W97112022
4Rheindorf Altach W9513416
5Salzburg W10514-316
6LASK W10325-311
7First Vienna W10154-88
8SK Rapid W9144-97
9Südburgenland W10127-215
10Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W10118-224

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is LASK W win, at 57.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.