Norway · 1. Division Women · Matchweek 1511:30
Klepp WLWLWL

1 – 2

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 22:47 UTC

Klepp W vs Frigg Oslo FK W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Klepp W and 2.60 for Frigg Oslo FK W, a combined total of 4.85. That distribution gives Frigg Oslo FK W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Frigg Oslo FK W win

46.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 2.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Klepp W home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Frigg Oslo FK W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Frigg Oslo FK W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 35% / 19% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.25 goals for Klepp W and 2.60 for Frigg Oslo FK W, a combined 4.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Klepp W win35%
Draw19%
Frigg Oslo FK W win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals71%
Both teams to score83%

Correct score

  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 2–35.8%
  • 1–35.2%
  • 2–15.2%

Recent form

Klepp W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Odd W · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane W · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolbotn W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bryne W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 0-4 (L)

Frigg Oslo FK W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Grei W · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Viking FK W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-23T11:30:00.000Z · Klepp W 1-2 Frigg Oslo FK W (1. Division Women)
  • 2026-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · Klepp W 2-3 Frigg Oslo FK W (1. Division Women)

1. Division Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W8620920
2Viking FK W86111819
3Åsane W85301118
4TIL 2020 W85211417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8422414
6Bryne W8323-211
7Odd W8233-19
8Kolbotn W8224-18
9Grei W8215-27
10Klepp W8206-156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8107-173
12Fyllingsdalen W8107-183

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Frigg Oslo FK W win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.