· Analysis updated 13:18 UTC
Kloetinge vs Achilles Veen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Kloetinge and 1.26 for Achilles Veen, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Kloetinge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kloetinge win
59.4% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kloetinge home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Achilles Veen away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kloetinge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Kloetinge and 1.26 for Achilles Veen, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–17.1%
- 1–06.8%
Recent form
Kloetinge
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Koninklijke HFC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Achilles Veen · 8-0 (W)
Achilles Veen
- 2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gemert · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs EVV · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Zwaluwen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TOGB · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Kloetinge · 0-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kloetinge win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.