Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · Matchweek 713:00
KloetingeDLDLD

3 – 3

Saturday, 26 September 2026

ROHDA RaalteLLDLL

Sportpark Wesselopark · Analysis updated 14:28 UTC

Kloetinge vs ROHDA Raalte Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Kloetinge and 1.42 for ROHDA Raalte, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Kloetinge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kloetinge win

50.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kloetinge home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • ROHDA Raalte away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kloetinge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 22% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Kloetinge and 1.42 for ROHDA Raalte, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kloetinge win51%
Draw22%
ROHDA Raalte win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–06.5%

Recent form

Kloetinge

  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Achilles Veen · 8-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs GVVV Veenendaal · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs RKAV Volendam · 1-1 (D)

ROHDA Raalte

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs GVVV Veenendaal · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kloetinge · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs TOGB · 6-4 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ijsselmeervogels · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Quick Boys · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys98012224
2Kozakken Boys96211320
3De Treffers95311518
4Ijsselmeervogels9513416
5GVVV Veenendaal9504315
6HHC9432315
7Barendrecht9423-114
8AFC Amsterdam9414013
9Spakenburg9414-313
10Sparta Rotterdam II9333512
11RKAV Volendam9333-112
12Katwijk9324-811
13Almere City II9315110
14Rijnsburgse Boys9315-1010
15Hoek9234-49
16Kloetinge9144-107
17Koninklijke HFC9135-76
18ROHDA Raalte9018-221

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kloetinge win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.