· Analysis updated 14:36 UTC
Kluczbork vs Rakow II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Kluczbork and 1.56 for Rakow II, a combined total of 3.56. That distribution gives Kluczbork the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kluczbork win
48.0% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kluczbork home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rakow II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kluczbork to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 22% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Kluczbork and 1.56 for Rakow II, a combined 3.56 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–15.9%
Recent form
Kluczbork
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Nysa · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Katowice · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ślęza Wrocław · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Goczałkowice Zdrój · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lechia Gdansk · 1-2 (L)
Rakow II
- 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Stilon Gorzów · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagłębie Lubin II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-08T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Odra Bytom Odrzański · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Polkowice · 4-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kluczbork win, at 48.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.