· Analysis updated 14:28 UTC
Kolbotn W vs Grei W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Kolbotn W and 1.62 for Grei W, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Kolbotn W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kolbotn W win
47.5% probability
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.62
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kolbotn W home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Grei W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kolbotn W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 21% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.03 goals for Kolbotn W and 1.62 for Grei W, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.9%
Recent form
Kolbotn W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Klepp W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bryne W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Odd W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TIL 2020 W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Start W · 1-3 (L)
Grei W
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TIL 2020 W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Åsane W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking FK W | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Åsane W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | TIL 2020 W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Arna-Bjørnar W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Bryne W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Odd W | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kolbotn W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Grei W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Klepp W | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 6 |
| 11 | Frigg Oslo FK W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 | Fyllingsdalen W | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kolbotn W win, at 47.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.