Norway · 1. Division Women · Matchweek 2012:00
Kolbotn WDDLLL

2 – 0

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Klepp WLWLWL

· Analysis updated 15:58 UTC

Kolbotn W vs Klepp W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Kolbotn W and 1.53 for Klepp W, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives Kolbotn W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kolbotn W win

60.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kolbotn W home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Klepp W away threat

    Scored in 0 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kolbotn W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 18% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.60 goals for Kolbotn W and 1.53 for Klepp W, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kolbotn W win61%
Draw18%
Klepp W win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 1–16.4%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 3–25.5%

Recent form

Kolbotn W

  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Klepp W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bryne W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Odd W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TIL 2020 W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Start W · 1-3 (L)

Klepp W

  • 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane W · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolbotn W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bryne W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viking FK W · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W8620920
2Viking FK W86111819
3Åsane W85301118
4TIL 2020 W85211417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8422414
6Bryne W8323-211
7Odd W8233-19
8Kolbotn W8224-18
9Grei W8215-27
10Klepp W8206-156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8107-173
12Fyllingsdalen W8107-183

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kolbotn W win, at 60.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.