Denmark · DBU Pokalen · Round of 3217:00

1 – 2

Wednesday, 9 September 2026

Autocentralen Park · Analysis updated 16:25 UTC

Kolding IF vs Odense Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Kolding IF and 1.25 for Odense, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Kolding IF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kolding IF win

79.0% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.50 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kolding IF home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Odense away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kolding IF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 12% / 10% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.50 goals for Kolding IF and 1.25 for Odense, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kolding IF win79%
Draw12%
Odense win10%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals69%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 3–17.7%
  • 4–16.8%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 3–06.2%
  • 4–05.4%

Recent form

Kolding IF

  • 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus Fremad · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AB Copenhagen · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Brønderslev · 4-1 (W)

Odense

  • 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 4-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Midtjylland · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Randers FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kolding IF win, at 79.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.