Autocentralen Park · Referee J. Kobberrod · Analysis updated 14:36 UTC
Kolding IF vs Vejle Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Kolding IF and 1.85 for Vejle, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives Vejle the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vejle win
48.4% probability
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kolding IF home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vejle away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vejle to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 29% / 23% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Kolding IF and 1.85 for Vejle, a combined 3.24 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–17.0%
- 0–26.7%
Recent form
Kolding IF
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus Fremad · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AB Copenhagen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Brønderslev · 4-1 (W)
Vejle
- 2026-10-02T10:00:00.000Z · A vs AC Horsens · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Fredericia · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-17T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Brondby · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Vendsyssel FF · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Vejle | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Aarhus Fremad | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Hobro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vendsyssel FF | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | AB Copenhagen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Hillerød | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Kolding IF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | HB Koge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vejle win, at 48.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.