Sportovni areal Brankovicka · Analysis updated 10:48 UTC
Kolín vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Kolín and 1.50 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Kolín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.5% probability
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kolín home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kolín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 24% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.57 goals for Kolín and 1.50 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.3%
- 0–16.9%
Recent form
Kolín
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Turnov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Vykan · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Police n/Metují · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Svitavy · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kosmonosy · 0-4 (L)
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vysoké Mýto | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Přepeře | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Kosmonosy | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 |
| 4 | Trutnov | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Turnov | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 8 | Spartak Police n/Metují | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Kolín | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Dvůr Králové | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Slavia Hradec Králové | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Hlinsko | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Vykan | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Svitavy | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
| 15 | Letohrad | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -25 | 2 |
| 16 | Chrudim II | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -35 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.