Georgia · Liga 3 · Matchweek 2012:30

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Thursday, 3 September 2026

Didube 2014LDLDL

Paata Tatarishvili Stadioni · Analysis updated 13:52 UTC

Kolkheti Khobi vs Didube 2014 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.54 expected goals for Kolkheti Khobi and 1.83 for Didube 2014, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Didube 2014 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kolkheti Khobi home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Didube 2014 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Didube 2014 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 33% / 23% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.54 goals for Kolkheti Khobi and 1.83 for Didube 2014, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kolkheti Khobi win33%
Draw23%
Didube 2014 win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.3%

Recent form

Kolkheti Khobi

  • 2026-09-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Betlemi · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Merani Tbilisi · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Didube 2014 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-27T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Irao · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs WIT Georgia · 3-2 (W)

Didube 2014

  • 2026-10-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gonio · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Iberia 1999 II · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Iveria Khashuri · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Iberia 2010 · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guria2517535656
2Varketili2516814456
3FC Iberia 1999 II25121032246
4Gonio2513571044
5Merani Tbilisi251276743
6WIT Georgia251159938
7Irao2510691036
8Dinamo Tbilisi II251069336
9Didube 201425988335
10Lokomotivi Tbilisi25979334
11Margveti 20062510411-834
12Kolkheti Khobi257513-1526
13Iveria Khashuri2531111-1420
14Gardabani254417-4216
15Betlemi254417-5116
16Iberia 2010253517-3714

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.