· Analysis updated 12:00 UTC
Köln U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.33 expected goals for Köln U19 and 1.35 for FSV Frankfurt U19, a combined total of 5.68. That distribution gives Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Köln U19 win
85.2% probability
Expected goals
4.33 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Köln U19 home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FSV Frankfurt U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 85% / 8% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.33 goals for Köln U19 and 1.35 for FSV Frankfurt U19, a combined 5.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
15%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.8%
- 3–16.2%
- 5–15.8%
- 4–05.0%
- 3–04.6%
Recent form
Köln U19
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 2-1 (W)
FSV Frankfurt U19
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Osnabrück U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Köln U19 win, at 85.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.