Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 2710:00

4 – 1

Thursday, 7 May 2026

· Analysis updated 18:35 UTC

Kolos Kovalivka U19 vs Kudrivka U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Kolos Kovalivka U19 and 0.90 for Kudrivka U19, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Kolos Kovalivka U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kolos Kovalivka U19 win

58.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.78 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Kolos Kovalivka U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kudrivka U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kolos Kovalivka U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 23% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.78 goals for Kolos Kovalivka U19 and 0.90 for Kudrivka U19, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kolos Kovalivka U19 win58%
Draw23%
Kudrivka U19 win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–012.2%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–06.9%

Recent form

Kolos Kovalivka U19

  • 2026-09-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zhytomyr U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-03T09:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Metalurh U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Livyi Bereh U19 · 1-2 (L)

Kudrivka U19

  • 2026-05-22T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-05-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-07T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

U19 League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kolos Kovalivka U19 win, at 58.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.