Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 1.18 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Kolos Kovalivka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kolos Kovalivka home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kolos Kovalivka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 28% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 1.18 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Kolos Kovalivka win36%

Draw28%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–113.2%
0–111.2%
1–011.2%
0–09.5%
1–27.7%

Recent form

Kolos Kovalivka

2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Zorya Luhansk · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kudrivka · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-11T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty · 0-2 (L)

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bukovyna · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Livyi Bereh · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Karbon Cherkasy · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bukovyna · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-03-07T11:00:00.000Z · Kolos Kovalivka 0-4 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Premier League)
2025-08-30T12:30:00.000Z · Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Premier League)
2025-07-26T09:00:00.000Z · Kolos Kovalivka 5-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Friendlies Clubs)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polessya	10	8	1	1	15	25
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	8	1	1	15	25
3	FC Kharkiv	9	7	0	2	11	21
4	Dynamo Kyiv	9	6	1	2	5	19
5	Karpaty	9	4	3	2	9	15
6	Zorya Luhansk	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	LNZ Cherkasy	10	4	3	3	1	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	10	2	3	5	-4	9
10	Veres Rivne	10	2	3	5	-7	9
11	Livyi Bereh	9	1	5	3	-2	8
12	Bukovyna	9	1	5	3	-5	8
13	Obolon'-Brovar	9	1	4	4	-11	7
14	Chornomorets	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Kudrivka	10	1	2	7	-13	5
16	Kryvbas KR	7	1	2	4	-6	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.