Kolos Stadium · Analysis updated 08:01 UTC
Kolos Kovalivka W vs Torreense W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Kolos Kovalivka W and 4.50 for Torreense W, a combined total of 5.50. That distribution gives Torreense W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 91%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 91% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Torreense W win
90.6% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Torreense W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Torreense W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 91%, against 4% / 6% / 91% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Kolos Kovalivka W and 4.50 for Torreense W, a combined 5.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 60%, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
9%
Double chance 12
94%
Double chance X2
97%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–47.0%
- 1–47.0%
- 0–56.3%
- 1–56.3%
- 0–36.2%
Recent form
Kolos Kovalivka W
- 2026-08-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Torreense W · 1-6 (L)
- 2025-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Vllaznia W · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vllaznia W · 0-2 (L)
- 2024-09-07T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 1-2 (L)
- 2024-09-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajax W · 1-4 (L)
Torreense W
- 2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Braga W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marítimo W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalist 1925 W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Torreense W win, at 90.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 91% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.