· Analysis updated 16:39 UTC
Kom vs Jedinstvo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Kom and 2.00 for Jedinstvo, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Jedinstvo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Jedinstvo win
54.8% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kom home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Jedinstvo away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–36.5%
Recent form
Kom
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrovac · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-1 (W)
Jedinstvo
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lovćen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · Kom 2-0 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2022-04-20T14:00:00.000Z · Kom 0-3 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2022-03-23T13:00:00.000Z · Kom 1-0 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2021-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · Kom 0-1 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2021-08-22T18:00:00.000Z · Kom 0-1 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2021-05-12T15:30:00.000Z · Kom 2-2 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2021-03-31T13:30:00.000Z · Kom 0-2 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2020-11-08T12:30:00.000Z · Kom 1-0 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2020-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · Kom 2-1 Jedinstvo (Second League)
- 2019-04-21T14:30:00.000Z · Kom 1-0 Jedinstvo (Second League)
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Jedinstvo win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.