Kom vs Mladost Lješkopolje Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Kom and 1.13 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kom home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Mladost Lješkopolje away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Kom win31%

Draw30%

Mladost Lješkopolje win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%

Over 2.5 goals35%

Over 3.5 goals16%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

0–113.8%
1–113.4%
0–012.2%
1–011.9%
0–27.7%

Recent form

Kom

2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrovac · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-1 (W)

Mladost Lješkopolje

2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · Kom 1-2 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · Kom 1-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2026-03-04T13:00:00.000Z · Kom 0-1 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2025-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · Kom 1-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2025-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · Kom 0-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2025-04-23T14:00:00.000Z · Kom 2-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2025-03-08T11:00:00.000Z · Kom 3-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2024-10-19T14:00:00.000Z · Kom 0-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2024-08-25T15:00:00.000Z · Kom 0-4 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
2024-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · Kom 4-1 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)

Second League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jedinstvo	13	7	2	4	10	23
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	6	5	1	7	23
3	Zeta	12	5	4	3	3	19
4	Lovćen	12	6	1	5	1	19
5	Kom	11	5	3	3	4	18
6	Iskra	12	5	2	5	1	17
7	Rudar	12	4	4	4	0	16
8	Grbalj	12	4	4	4	-4	16
9	Mogren	12	2	5	5	-1	11
10	Berane	12	0	2	10	-21	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.