· Analysis updated 10:32 UTC
Kom vs Zeta Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for Kom and 1.24 for Zeta, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Kom the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.5% probability
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.24
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kom home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Zeta away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kom to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 25% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.49 goals for Kom and 1.24 for Zeta, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.5%
Recent form
Kom
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrovac · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 1-1 (D)
Zeta
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Iskra · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kom · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lovćen · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.