· Analysis updated 06:01 UTC
Komárno W vs Petržalka W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.55 expected goals for Komárno W and 2.33 for Petržalka W, a combined total of 5.88. That distribution gives Komárno W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Komárno W win
61.2% probability
Expected goals
3.55 – 2.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Komárno W home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Komárno W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 15% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.55 goals for Komárno W and 2.33 for Petržalka W, a combined 5.88 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 92% and both teams to score at 87%, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–25.7%
- 4–25.0%
- 3–14.9%
- 2–24.8%
- 3–34.4%
Recent form
Komárno W
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 1-2 (L)
Petržalka W
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-11 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 24 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Tatran Prešov W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Komárno W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 11 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 10 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -25 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -35 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Komárno W win, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 87% and over 2.5 goals at 92%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.