Slovakia · I Liga - Women · Matchweek 714:00
Komárno WWWDLL

0 – 5

Saturday, 26 September 2026

· Analysis updated 16:59 UTC

Komárno W vs Slovan Bratislava W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Komárno W and 4.13 for Slovan Bratislava W, a combined total of 5.95. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slovan Bratislava W win

76.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 4.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Komárno W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slovan Bratislava W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Komárno W win12%
Draw11%
Slovan Bratislava W win77%

Double chance 1X

24%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

88%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals91%
Over 3.5 goals82%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 1–45.7%
  • 1–35.6%
  • 2–45.2%
  • 2–35.1%
  • 1–54.7%

Recent form

Komárno W

  • 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-8 (L)

Slovan Bratislava W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 8-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · Komárno W 0-5 Slovan Bratislava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2026-02-21T13:00:00.000Z · Komárno W 0-5 Slovan Bratislava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · Komárno W 0-4 Slovan Bratislava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-05-10T13:30:00.000Z · Komárno W 3-5 Slovan Bratislava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-03-29T12:00:00.000Z · Komárno W 2-4 Slovan Bratislava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-02-16T13:30:00.000Z · Komárno W 0-6 Slovan Bratislava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2024-09-28T12:00:00.000Z · Komárno W 0-2 Slovan Bratislava W (I Liga - Women)

I Liga - Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spartak Myjava W1010006030
2Slovan Bratislava W109014027
3Trenčín W10613719
4Z. Moravce-Vrable W10505-215
5Komárno W10424-814
6Tatran Prešov W10415-313
7Spartak Trnava W10415-1413
8Ružomberok W10307-169
9Dukla Banská Bystrica W10118-284
10Petržalka W10109-363

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava W win, at 76.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.

A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.