MOLAJ Sporttelep · Analysis updated 13:50 UTC
Komárom vs Gyori ETO II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Komárom and 1.33 for Gyori ETO II, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Komárom the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Komárom home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Gyori ETO II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.9%
Recent form
Komárom
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MTE 1904 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Dorogi FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ugod · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Pápai Perutz · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Puskás II · 2-1 (W)
Gyori ETO II
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Veszprém · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Király SZE · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Balatonalmádi · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs SC Sopron · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sárisápi Bányász · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · Komárom 3-1 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2025-11-02T10:00:00.000Z · Komárom 2-3 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2024-11-17T12:00:00.000Z · Komárom 2-3 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2024-07-27T09:00:00.000Z · Komárom 1-1 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2024-03-24T10:00:00.000Z · Komárom 1-0 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2023-09-03T14:00:00.000Z · Komárom 1-1 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Northwest)
- 2023-07-12T15:00:00.000Z · Komárom 1-2 Gyori ETO II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-03-12T10:00:00.000Z · Komárom 2-0 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Southwest)
- 2022-08-31T15:30:00.000Z · Komárom 2-2 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Southwest)
- 2022-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · Komárom 1-4 Gyori ETO II (NB III - Southwest)
NB III - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haladás VSE | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 | Dorogi FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Tatabánya | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 |
| 4 | Sárisápi Bányász | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | MTE 1904 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | SC Sopron | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Bicskei | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Komárom | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Gyori ETO II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Puskás II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Pápai Perutz | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Veszprém | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Király SZE | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Balatonalmádi | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -25 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.