· Analysis updated 15:21 UTC
Komárov vs Jiskra Domažlice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Komárov and 1.91 for Jiskra Domažlice, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Komárov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.0% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Komárov home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Jiskra Domažlice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Komárov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Komárov and 1.91 for Jiskra Domažlice, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.7%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.1%
- 3–15.2%
Recent form
Komárov
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 1-0 (W)
Jiskra Domažlice
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 6-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia III · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Motorlet Praha · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.