Old Stadium · Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
Kompong Dewa vs Life Sihanoukville Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Kompong Dewa and 0.90 for Life Sihanoukville, a combined total of 2.07. That distribution gives Kompong Dewa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.9% probability
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Life Sihanoukville away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kompong Dewa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 30% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.17 goals for Kompong Dewa and 0.90 for Life Sihanoukville, a combined 2.07 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.8%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.6%
- 0–111.3%
- 2–08.7%
Recent form
Kompong Dewa
Life Sihanoukville
- 2026-10-25T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Phnom Penh Crown · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kompong Dewa · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NagaWorld · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-09T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
C-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Visakha | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | NagaWorld | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Svay Rieng | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 |
| 4 | Angkor Tiger | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | Phnom Penh Crown | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Dangkor Senchey | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Kompong Dewa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Life Sihanoukville | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 10 | Boeung Ket | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | National Defense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.