Old Stadium · Analysis updated 16:24 UTC
Kompong Dewa vs Visakha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Kompong Dewa and 1.69 for Visakha, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Visakha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Visakha win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.69
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Visakha away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Visakha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 27% / 24% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Kompong Dewa and 1.69 for Visakha, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–27.9%
- 2–16.8%
Recent form
Kompong Dewa
Visakha
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Boeung Ket · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kompong Dewa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs National Defense · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Svay Rieng · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
C-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Visakha | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Svay Rieng | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | NagaWorld | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Dangkor Senchey | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 |
| 5 | Kompong Dewa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 3 |
| 7 | Phnom Penh Crown | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Angkor Tiger | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Boeung Ket | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Life Sihanoukville | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | National Defense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Visakha win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.