Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · Matchweek 1012:00

2 – 1

Saturday, 17 October 2026

KloetingeLDLDL

Sportpark Spanjaardslaan · Analysis updated 06:50 UTC

Koninklijke HFC vs Kloetinge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Koninklijke HFC and 1.52 for Kloetinge, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Koninklijke HFC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Koninklijke HFC win

51.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.52

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Koninklijke HFC home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kloetinge away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Koninklijke HFC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.13 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 1.52 for Kloetinge, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Koninklijke HFC win52%
Draw21%
Kloetinge win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–18.4%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 3–16.3%

Recent form

Koninklijke HFC

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ijsselmeervogels · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Quick Boys · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozakken Boys · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dovo · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs AFC Amsterdam · 1-3 (L)

Kloetinge

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Koninklijke HFC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Achilles Veen · 8-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys108112225
2De Treffers106311621
3Kozakken Boys106311321
4Ijsselmeervogels10613519
5HHC10532418
6Barendrecht10523217
7GVVV Veenendaal10505215
8RKAV Volendam10433015
9Spakenburg10424-314
10AFC Amsterdam10415-313
11Rijnsburgse Boys10415-913
12Sparta Rotterdam II10334412
13Katwijk10325-911
14Almere City II10316010
15Hoek10244-410
16Koninklijke HFC10235-69
17Kloetinge10145-117
18ROHDA Raalte10019-231

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Koninklijke HFC win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.