· Analysis updated 16:45 UTC
Köniz vs Münsingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Köniz and 1.45 for Münsingen, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Köniz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Köniz win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Köniz home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Münsingen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Köniz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Köniz and 1.45 for Münsingen, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Köniz
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Münsingen · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lausanne Sport II · 1-10 (L)
- 2025-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Meyrin · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-05-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chênois · 2-3 (L)
Münsingen
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bassecourt · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Schötz · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Thun II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Black Stars · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Köniz win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.