Medas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi Stadium · Referee Cihan Aydin, Türkiye · Analysis updated 02:52 UTC
Konyaspor vs Rizespor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Konyaspor and 1.04 for Rizespor, a combined total of 1.98. That distribution gives Rizespor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.
Model pick
Rizespor or Draw
68.4% probability
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.5%
- 0–013.9%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.9%
- 0–27.5%
Why the model likes this
Konyaspor home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rizespor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 32% / 31% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.93 goals for Konyaspor and 1.04 for Rizespor, a combined 1.98 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Recent form
Konyaspor
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rizespor · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Hull City · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Zorya Luhansk · 2-1 (W)
Rizespor
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Çorum FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.