Arto Tolsa Areena · Referee J. Kobberrod · Analysis updated 10:10 UTC
Kooteepee vs JäPS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Kooteepee and 0.70 for JäPS, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Kooteepee the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kooteepee win
70.7% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kooteepee home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
JäPS away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–013.4%
- 1–012.6%
- 3–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.8%
Recent form
Kooteepee
- 2026-09-25T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MP · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · A vs JIPPO · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Haka · 2-1 (W)
JäPS
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Klubi-04 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SJK Akatemia · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · Kooteepee 3-0 JäPS (Ykkösliiga)
- 2026-07-10T15:30:00.000Z · Kooteepee 4-1 JäPS (Ykkösliiga)
- 2026-05-16T13:00:00.000Z · Kooteepee 1-0 JäPS (Ykkösliiga)
- 2026-02-09T16:00:00.000Z · Kooteepee 3-0 JäPS (Ykköscup)
- 2024-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · Kooteepee 1-2 JäPS (Ykkösliiga)
- 2024-07-05T16:00:00.000Z · Kooteepee 0-0 JäPS (Ykkösliiga)
- 2024-05-03T15:30:00.000Z · Kooteepee 2-0 JäPS (Ykkösliiga)
- 2024-01-27T13:15:00.000Z · Kooteepee 1-1 JäPS (Ykköscup)
- 2023-01-28T11:00:00.000Z · Kooteepee 2-2 JäPS (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · Kooteepee 6-0 JäPS (Ykkönen)
Ykkösliiga table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kooteepee win, at 70.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.