Arto Tolsa Areena · Analysis updated 02:55 UTC
Kooteepee vs KäPa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.36 expected goals for Kooteepee and 0.89 for KäPa, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Kooteepee the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.
Model pick
Kooteepee to Win
70.2% probability
Expected goals
2.36 – 0.89
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.2%
- 3–08.5%
- 1–18.1%
Why the model likes this
KäPa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kooteepee to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.36 goals for Kooteepee and 0.89 for KäPa, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 53%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Kooteepee
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.