· Analysis updated 22:19 UTC
Korabi Peshkopi vs Veleçiku Koplik Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.98 expected goals for Korabi Peshkopi and 2.14 for Veleçiku Koplik, a combined total of 5.12. That distribution gives Korabi Peshkopi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Korabi Peshkopi win
55.5% probability
Expected goals
2.98 – 2.14
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Korabi Peshkopi home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Veleçiku Koplik away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Korabi Peshkopi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 17% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.98 goals for Korabi Peshkopi and 2.14 for Veleçiku Koplik, a combined 5.12 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.1%
- 3–26.0%
- 2–15.7%
- 3–15.6%
- 4–24.5%
Recent form
Korabi Peshkopi
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vora · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Kukesi · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Besëlidhja Lezhë · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Oriku · 1-0 (W)
Veleçiku Koplik
- 2025-10-14T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Korabi Peshkopi · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Luzi 2008 · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Albanët · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-03-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gramshi · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-03-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Luzi 2008 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 2 | Laci | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| 3 | Luftëtari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Shiroka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Besa Kavajë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Bylis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Flamurtari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Kastrioti Krujë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Eagle FA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | FK Kukesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Butrinti Sarandë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Korabi Peshkopi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Veleçiku Koplik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Burreli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Erzeni Shijak | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Oriku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Sopoti Librazhd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Tërbuni Pukë | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Luzi 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Maliqi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 25 | Albpetrol Patos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 26 | Devolli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 27 | Gramshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 28 | Naftëtari Kuçovë | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 29 | Lushnja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 30 | Tomori Berat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 31 | Këlcyra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 32 | Delvina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Korabi Peshkopi win, at 55.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.