Korotan Prevalje vs Videm Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Korotan Prevalje and 1.32 for Videm, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Korotan Prevalje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Korotan Prevalje win

49.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Korotan Prevalje home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Videm away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Korotan Prevalje win49%

Draw23%

Videm win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

1–110.4%
2–19.5%
1–07.9%
2–07.2%
1–26.9%

Recent form

Korotan Prevalje

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fužinar · 4-4 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Limbuš Pekre · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ljutomer · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Podvinci · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Čarda Martjanci · 1-1 (D)

Videm

2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Šampion Celje · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Čarda Martjanci · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hajdina · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Odranci · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-11T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Rače · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · Korotan Prevalje 4-2 Videm (3. SNL - East)
2026-05-09T17:00:00.000Z · Korotan Prevalje 2-5 Videm (3. SNL - East)
2025-10-26T09:30:00.000Z · Korotan Prevalje 0-4 Videm (3. SNL - East)
2021-05-08T16:00:00.000Z · Korotan Prevalje 0-1 Videm (3. SNL - East)
2020-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · Korotan Prevalje 2-0 Videm (3. SNL - East)

3. SNL - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Odranci	9	7	2	0	16	23
2	Fužinar	9	6	1	2	11	19
3	Šmartno	9	5	1	3	4	16
4	NK Ormoz	9	5	1	3	4	16
5	Hajdina	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	9	4	3	2	7	15
7	Videm	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Podvinci	10	4	2	4	-4	14
9	Korotan Prevalje	9	2	5	2	1	11
10	Rače	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Dobrovce	9	3	0	6	-11	9
12	Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	-4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	9	1	2	6	-15	5
14	Šampion Celje	9	1	1	7	-10	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Korotan Prevalje win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.