· Analysis updated 10:34 UTC
Kortrijk vs Club Brugge II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Kortrijk and 1.75 for Club Brugge II, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Club Brugge II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Club Brugge II win
49.1% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kortrijk home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Club Brugge II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Club Brugge II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 27% / 24% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Kortrijk and 1.75 for Club Brugge II, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–16.8%
Recent form
Kortrijk
- 2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Genk · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Heist · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · H vs SK Beveren · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:15:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louvière · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zulte Waregem · 0-2 (L)
Club Brugge II
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Liège · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Patro Eisden · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-08T09:30:00.000Z · Kortrijk 1-1 Club Brugge II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-01-27T19:00:00.000Z · Kortrijk 0-2 Club Brugge II (Challenger Pro League)
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · Kortrijk 1-1 Club Brugge II (Challenger Pro League)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Club Brugge II win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.