Kozarmisleny FC vs Soroksar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Kozarmisleny FC and 3.50 for Soroksar, a combined total of 5.50. That distribution gives Soroksar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Soroksar win

66.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 3.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Soroksar away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 10 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Soroksar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 19% / 15% / 66% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Kozarmisleny FC and 3.50 for Soroksar, a combined 5.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Kozarmisleny FC win19%

Draw15%

Soroksar win66%

Double chance 1X

34%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

81%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals90%

Over 3.5 goals79%

Both teams to score83%

Correct score

1–35.8%
2–35.8%
1–45.1%
2–45.1%
1–25.0%

Recent form

Kozarmisleny FC

2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Karcag SE · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mátészalka · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mezokovesd-zsory · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kecskeméti TE · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Szeged 2011 · 1-2 (L)

Soroksar

2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszakecske FC · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hévíz · 6-1 (W)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csakvar · 6-0 (W)
2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-02-22T16:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 2-3 Soroksar (NB II)
2025-08-17T17:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 1-1 Soroksar (NB II)
2025-04-20T17:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 1-3 Soroksar (NB II)
2024-10-20T15:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 1-1 Soroksar (NB II)
2024-02-25T13:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 1-2 Soroksar (NB II)
2024-01-17T11:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 1-2 Soroksar (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 2-1 Soroksar (NB II)
2023-01-11T12:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 3-1 Soroksar (Friendlies Clubs)
2022-12-11T14:00:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 1-1 Soroksar (NB II)
2022-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · Kozarmisleny FC 1-3 Soroksar (NB II)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Soroksar win, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.