· Analysis updated 16:59 UTC
Králův Dvůr vs České Budějovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for Králův Dvůr and 2.35 for České Budějovice, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Králův Dvůr the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
60.3% probability
Expected goals
2.40 – 2.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Králův Dvůr home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
České Budějovice away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Králův Dvůr to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 19% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.40 goals for Králův Dvůr and 2.35 for České Budějovice, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.9%
- 2–15.9%
- 1–25.7%
- 3–25.5%
- 2–35.4%
Recent form
Králův Dvůr
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Loko Vltavín · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Povltava FA · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 1-2 (L)
České Budějovice
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Písek · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Jiskra Domažlice | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Sparta Praha II | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Loko Vltavín | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Písek | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Admira Praha | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | Aritma Praha | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -14 | 8 |
| 14 | Dukla Praha II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Benešov | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.