· Analysis updated 10:55 UTC
Králův Dvůr vs Loko Vltavín Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Králův Dvůr and 2.75 for Loko Vltavín, a combined total of 5.25. That distribution gives Loko Vltavín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Loko Vltavín win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
2.50 – 2.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Králův Dvůr home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Loko Vltavín away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Loko Vltavín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 37% / 18% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Králův Dvůr and 2.75 for Loko Vltavín, a combined 5.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.2%
- 2–35.7%
- 3–25.2%
- 1–25.0%
- 3–34.7%
Recent form
Králův Dvůr
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia III · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motorlet Praha · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Loko Vltavín · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Povltava FA · 2-1 (W)
Loko Vltavín
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Loko Vltavín win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 86% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.