Králův Dvůr vs Motorlet Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.06 expected goals for Králův Dvůr and 1.48 for Motorlet Praha, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives Králův Dvůr the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Králův Dvůr win

50.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.06 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Králův Dvůr home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Motorlet Praha away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Králův Dvůr to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.06 goals for Králův Dvůr and 1.48 for Motorlet Praha, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Králův Dvůr win51%

Draw21%

Motorlet Praha win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–19.1%
1–18.8%
2–26.8%
1–26.6%
3–16.2%

Recent form

Králův Dvůr

2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Loko Vltavín · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Povltava FA · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 1-2 (L)

Motorlet Praha

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 2-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	České Budějovice	10	7	1	2	20	22
2	Králův Dvůr	9	7	1	1	12	22
3	Jiskra Domažlice	10	6	3	1	10	21
4	Motorlet Praha	10	6	1	3	8	19
5	Viktoria Plzeň II	9	5	2	2	5	17
6	Sparta Praha II	8	4	3	1	11	15
7	Loko Vltavín	10	4	3	3	-2	15
8	Slavia III	10	4	2	4	3	14
9	Písek	10	2	5	3	-3	11
10	Admira Praha	10	3	2	5	-4	11
11	Příbram II	10	2	4	4	-3	10
12	Bohemians 1905 II	10	2	4	4	-9	10
13	Aritma Praha	10	1	5	4	-14	8
14	Dukla Praha II	10	1	4	5	-7	7
15	Benešov	10	1	4	5	-9	7
16	Povltava FA	10	0	2	8	-18	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Králův Dvůr win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.