· Analysis updated 19:28 UTC
Kravare vs Frýdlant Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.21 expected goals for Kravare and 0.86 for Frýdlant, a combined total of 5.07. That distribution gives Kravare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 91%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 91% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kravare win
90.6% probability
Expected goals
4.21 – 0.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Frýdlant away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kravare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 91%, against 91% / 6% / 3% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.21 goals for Kravare and 0.86 for Frýdlant, a combined 5.07 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 55%, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
97%
Double chance 12
94%
Double chance X2
9%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–08.3%
- 3–07.8%
- 4–17.1%
- 5–07.0%
- 3–16.7%
Recent form
Kravare
Frýdlant
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Hlučín · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Frydek-Mistek B · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 30 |
| 2 | Kravare | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Valašské Meziříčí | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Opava II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Zabreh | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Stonava | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Pustá Polom | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Frydek-Mistek B | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | -31 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kravare win, at 90.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 91% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.