KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for KRC Genk II and 1.45 for KAA Gent II, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives KRC Genk II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

KRC Genk II or Draw

67.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

KRC Genk II win44%

Draw23%

KAA Gent II win33%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.5%
2–19.0%
1–27.6%
1–07.2%
2–26.5%

Why the model likes this

KRC Genk II home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates KRC Genk II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 23% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for KRC Genk II and 1.45 for KAA Gent II, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

KRC Genk II

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Eupen · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-08T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zelzate · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Royal Antwerp II · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Eindhoven · 4-2 (W)
2026-07-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Eendracht Termien · 3-2 (W)

KAA Gent II

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.