· Analysis updated 08:53 UTC
Krems / Rehberg vs Leobendorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for Krems / Rehberg and 1.27 for Leobendorf, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Krems / Rehberg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Krems / Rehberg win
47.3% probability
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.27
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Krems / Rehberg home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Leobendorf away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Krems / Rehberg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 24% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.69 goals for Krems / Rehberg and 1.27 for Leobendorf, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–27.1%
Recent form
Krems / Rehberg
- 2026-10-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 3-0 (W)
Leobendorf
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wiener SC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Wiener SC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Oberwart | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Traiskirchen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Krems / Rehberg | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Wiener Viktoria | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Fach-Donaufeld | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Scheiblingkirchen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 19 |
| 9 | Parndorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Donau | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 13 | Gloggnitz | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Favoritner AC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 | SV Horn | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -40 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Krems / Rehberg win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.