· Analysis updated 14:56 UTC
Krems / Rehberg vs SKU Amstetten Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Krems / Rehberg and 2.20 for SKU Amstetten, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives SKU Amstetten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SKU Amstetten win
62.3% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Krems / Rehberg home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SKU Amstetten away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SKU Amstetten to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 18% / 20% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Krems / Rehberg and 2.20 for SKU Amstetten, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–18.9%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–37.2%
Recent form
Krems / Rehberg
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Traiskirchen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Favoritner AC · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Oberwart · 3-1 (W)
SKU Amstetten
- 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Kapfenberg · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna (Am) · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs WSPG Wels · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SKU Amstetten win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.