Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 1117:30

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Friday, 9 October 2026

· Analysis updated 17:00 UTC

Krems / Rehberg vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Krems / Rehberg and 1.17 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined total of 2.64. That distribution gives Krems / Rehberg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.17

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Krems / Rehberg home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Wiener Viktoria away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Krems / Rehberg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.47 goals for Krems / Rehberg and 1.17 for Wiener Viktoria, a combined 2.64 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Krems / Rehberg win44%
Draw26%
Wiener Viktoria win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Krems / Rehberg

  • 2026-10-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 3-0 (W)

Wiener Viktoria

  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Parndorf · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Krems / Rehberg · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Donau · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Leobendorf · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf139132128
2Wiener SC138231626
3Oberwart138231126
4Traiskirchen13733524
5Krems / Rehberg13724523
6Wiener Viktoria13625320
7Fach-Donaufeld13625020
8Scheiblingkirchen13544-619
9Parndorf13535518
10Leobendorf13535218
11Mattersburg SV 202013517-516
12Donau13364315
13Gloggnitz13355-714
14Favoritner AC13418-913
15SV Horn13328-411
16Wienerberg130112-401

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.