· Analysis updated 16:12 UTC
Kreuzlingen vs Brühl Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Kreuzlingen and 0.98 for Brühl, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Kreuzlingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.7% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kreuzlingen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brühl away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kreuzlingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 30% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Kreuzlingen and 0.98 for Brühl, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.8%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–012.9%
- 0–112.6%
- 2–07.4%
Recent form
Kreuzlingen
- 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lugano II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Brühl · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs YF Juventus · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zürich II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bellinzona · 1-2 (L)
Brühl
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FC ST. Gallen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Kreuzlingen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Paradiso · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cham · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Schaffhausen · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Promotion table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biel-Bienne | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 25 |
| 3 | Cham | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Bulle | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Paradiso | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Basel II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Zürich II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Breitenrain | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | YF Juventus | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Amical Saint-Prex | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Kreuzlingen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Brühl | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Lugano II | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Young Boys II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Bavois | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.