· Analysis updated 04:57 UTC
Křimice vs Hořovicko Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Křimice and 1.60 for Hořovicko, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Hořovicko the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.9% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Křimice home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hořovicko away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hořovicko to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 31% / 25% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Křimice and 1.60 for Hořovicko, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–07.2%
Recent form
Křimice
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 4-2 (W)
Hořovicko
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárov · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · Křimice 1-0 Hořovicko (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2026-04-11T14:30:00.000Z · Křimice 2-1 Hořovicko (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2025-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · Křimice 3-1 Hořovicko (4. liga - Divizie A)
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Křimice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Petřín Plzeň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Komárov | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Hořovicko | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Táborsko II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Spartak Soběslav | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 4 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.