· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Křimice vs Komárov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Křimice and 1.13 for Komárov, a combined total of 2.56. That distribution gives Křimice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.3% probability
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Křimice home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Komárov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Křimice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Křimice and 1.13 for Komárov, a combined 2.56 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–07.9%
Recent form
Křimice
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 4-2 (W)
Komárov
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petřín Plzeň | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Křimice | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 |
| 4 | Hořovicko | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Spartak Soběslav | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Komárov | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Táborsko II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Doubravka | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Strakonice | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Rokycany | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.