· Analysis updated 05:43 UTC
Křimice vs Nyrsko Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.69 expected goals for Křimice and 0.99 for Nyrsko, a combined total of 4.69. That distribution gives Křimice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Křimice win
85.0% probability
Expected goals
3.69 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Křimice home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nyrsko away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Křimice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 85% / 9% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.69 goals for Křimice and 0.99 for Nyrsko, a combined 4.69 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
15%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–07.7%
- 3–17.7%
- 4–07.1%
- 4–17.1%
- 2–06.3%
Recent form
Křimice
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 4-2 (W)
Nyrsko
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Petřín Plzeň · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hořovicko · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Křimice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Petřín Plzeň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Komárov | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Hořovicko | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Táborsko II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Spartak Soběslav | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 4 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Křimice win, at 85.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.