Křimice vs Strakonice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.26 expected goals for Křimice and 1.28 for Strakonice, a combined total of 4.54. That distribution gives Křimice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Křimice win

75.6% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.26 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Křimice home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Křimice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 76% / 13% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.26 goals for Křimice and 1.28 for Strakonice, a combined 4.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 69%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Křimice win76%

Draw13%

Strakonice win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

25%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals82%

Over 3.5 goals66%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

3–17.9%
2–17.3%
4–16.4%
3–06.2%
2–05.7%

Recent form

Křimice

2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 4-2 (W)

Strakonice

2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 4-4 (D)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rokycany · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 0-6 (L)
2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 5-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Petřín Plzeň	11	8	1	2	12	25
2	Spartak Pribram	10	7	2	1	19	23
3	Křimice	11	7	2	2	8	23
4	Hořovicko	11	6	2	3	5	20
5	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	5	4	1	8	19
6	Komárov	10	5	4	1	7	19
7	Spartak Soběslav	10	5	2	3	6	17
8	Táborsko II	10	4	4	2	5	16
9	Doubravka	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	4	0	6	-6	12
11	Rokycany	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Strakonice	10	2	1	7	-14	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	10	2	0	8	-7	6
14	Nyrsko	10	1	1	8	-21	4
15	Milevsko	10	0	2	8	-12	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Křimice win, at 75.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.