Fotbalovy stadion · Analysis updated 16:57 UTC
Křimice vs Teplice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Křimice and 1.37 for Teplice, a combined total of 2.81. That distribution gives Křimice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.1% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Křimice home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Teplice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Křimice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Křimice and 1.37 for Teplice, a combined 2.81 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
Recent form
Křimice
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 4-2 (W)
Teplice
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.